Town Planning Review

The changing role of household projections: exploring policy conflict and ambiguity in planning for housing

Town Planning Review (2018), 89, (4), 403–424.

DOI
https://doi.org/10.3828/tpr.2018.24
Language
English
Pages
22

Abstract

Household projections have been a critical tool in establishing top-down hierarchical frameworks through which planning systems impose new housing requirements on localities. This article re-assesses the role of household projections in the context of two recent factors. The first is the emergence of increasingly localised spatial governance arrangements that enhance the scope to challenge household projections data. The second is the gradual emergence of the economy from recession and its impact on interpretation of household projections data. A case study of planning for housing in Wales explores the ambiguities and conflicts that arise as a result of these changes.

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BAKER, M. and WONG, C. (1997), ‘Planning for housing land in the English regions: a critique of household projections and regional planning guidance mechanisms’, Environment and Planning C: Government and Policy, 15, 73–87. Planning for housing land in the English regions: a critique of household projections and regional planning guidance mechanisms Environment and Planning C: Government and Policy 15 73 87 Google Scholar

ELLIS, K. (2015), ‘Personalisation, ambiguity and conflict: Matland’s model of policy implementation and the ‘transformation’ of adult social care in England’, Policy and Politics, 43, 239–54. Personalisation, ambiguity and conflict: Matland’s model of policy implementation and the ‘transformation’ of adult social care in England Policy and Politics 43 239 54 Google Scholar

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FULLER, C. (2017), ‘City government in an age of austerity: discursive institutions and critique’, Environment and Planning A, 49, 745–66. City government in an age of austerity: discursive institutions and critique Environment and Planning A 49 745 66 Google Scholar

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BARKER, K. (2014), Housing: Where’s the Plan?, London, London Publishing Partnership. Housing: Where’s the Plan? Google Scholar

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BARKER, K. (2015), ‘How many houses should we plan for?’, Journal of Planning and Environment Law, 13, 10–21. How many houses should we plan for? Journal of Planning and Environment Law 13 10 21 Google Scholar

GALLENT, N. (2007), ‘Household projections and strategic housing allocations’ in H. Dimitriou and R. Thompson (eds), Strategic Planning for Regional Development in the UK. A Review of Principles and Practices, London, Routledge, 198–219. Household projections and strategic housing allocations Strategic Planning for Regional Development in the UK. A Review of Principles and Practices 198 219 Google Scholar

BATE, R. (1999), ‘The household projections: a wolf in sheep’s clothing’, in D. Dorling and S. Simpson (eds), Statistics in Society: the arithmetic of politics, London, Arnold, 369–75. The household projections: a wolf in sheep’s clothing Statistics in Society: the arithmetic of politics 369 75 Google Scholar

GALLENT, N. and TEWDWR-JONES, M. (2007), Decent Homes for All. Planning’s Evolving Role in Housing Provision, London, Routledge. Decent Homes for All. Planning’s Evolving Role in Housing Provision Google Scholar

BIALIK, G., GIBTON, D. and DROR, Y. (2016), ‘Now you see it, now you don’t: understanding high conflict and high ambiguity as core policy dimensions through field-level leaders’ perspectives’, Leadership and Policy in Schools (Online First), 1–26. Now you see it, now you don’t: understanding high conflict and high ambiguity as core policy dimensions through field-level leaders’ perspectives Leadership and Policy in Schools 1 26 Google Scholar

GOLLAND, A. and GILLEN, M. (2004), ‘Housing need, housing demand and housing supply’, in Golland and Blake (eds), 45–70. Housing need, housing demand and housing supply 45 70 Google Scholar

BLAKE, R. and NICOL, C. (2004), ‘Historical, demographic and land-use perspectives’, in A. Golland and R. Blake (eds), Housing Development. Theory, Process and Practice, London, Routledge, 17–44. Historical, demographic and land-use perspectives Housing Development. Theory, Process and Practice 17 44 Google Scholar

GURRAN, N. and PHIBBS, P. (2013), ‘Housing supply and urban planning reform: the recent Australian experience, 2003–2012’, International Journal of Housing Policy, 13, 381–407. Housing supply and urban planning reform: the recent Australian experience, 2003–2012 International Journal of Housing Policy 13 381 407 Google Scholar

BRAMLEY, G. and WATKINS, C. (1996), Circular Projections, London, Council for the Protection of Rural England. Circular Projections Google Scholar

HASTINGS, A., BAILEY, N., GANNON, M., BESEMER, K. and BRAMLEY, G. (2015), ‘Coping with the cuts? The management of the worst financial settlement in living memory’, Local Government Studies 41, 601–21. Coping with the cuts? The management of the worst financial settlement in living memory Local Government Studies 41 601 21 Google Scholar

BRAMLEY, G. (2013), ‘Housing market models and planning’, Town Planning Review, 84, 9–35. Housing market models and planning Town Planning Review 84 9 35 Google Scholar

COWELL, R. and MURDOCH, J. (1999), ‘Land use and the limits to (regional) governance: some lessons from planning for housing and minerals in England’, International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, 23, 654–69. Land use and the limits to (regional) governance: some lessons from planning for housing and minerals in England International Journal of Urban and Regional Research 23 654 69 Google Scholar

HAUGHTON G., ALLMENDINGER, P., COUNSELL, D. and VIGAR, G. (2010), The New Spatial Planning: Territorial Management with Soft Spaces and Fuzzy Boundaries, London, Routledge. The New Spatial Planning: Territorial Management with Soft Spaces and Fuzzy Boundaries Google Scholar

COWELL, R. and OWENS, S. (2006), ‘Governing space: planning reform and the politics of sustainability’, Environment and Planning C: Politics and Space, 24, 403–21. Governing space: planning reform and the politics of sustainability Environment and Planning C: Politics and Space 24 403 21 Google Scholar

HAUGHTON G. and ALLMENDINGER, P. (eds) (2014), Spatial Planning and the New Localism, London, Routledge. Spatial Planning and the New Localism Google Scholar

DOREY, P. (2005), Policy Making in Britain, London, Sage. Policy Making in Britain Google Scholar

HELEY, J. (2013), ‘Soft spaces, fuzzy boundaries and spatial governance in post-devolution Wales’, International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, 37, 1325–48. Soft spaces, fuzzy boundaries and spatial governance in post-devolution Wales International Journal of Urban and Regional Research 37 1325 48 Google Scholar

HOLMANS, A. E. (2012), Household Projections in England: Their History and Uses, Cambridge, Cambridge Centre for Housing and Planning Research, University of Cambridge. Household Projections in England: Their History and Uses Google Scholar

EGAN, J. (2004), The Egan Review: Skills for Sustainable Communities, London, ODPM. The Egan Review: Skills for Sustainable Communities Google Scholar

HOLMANS, A. E. (2013), ‘New estimates of housing demand and need in England, 2011 to 2013’, Town and Country Planning Association (Tomorrow Series Paper 16), London. New estimates of housing demand and need in England, 2011 to 2013 Town and Country Planning Association Google Scholar

ELLIS, K. (2015), ‘Personalisation, ambiguity and conflict: Matland’s model of policy implementation and the ‘transformation’ of adult social care in England’, Policy and Politics, 43, 239–54. Personalisation, ambiguity and conflict: Matland’s model of policy implementation and the ‘transformation’ of adult social care in England Policy and Politics 43 239 54 Google Scholar

HORDERN, J. (2015), ‘An unfinished experiment: ambiguity and conflict in the implementation of higher skills policy’, Research Papers in Education, 30, 248–65. An unfinished experiment: ambiguity and conflict in the implementation of higher skills policy Research Papers in Education 30 248 65 Google Scholar

FULLER, C. (2017), ‘City government in an age of austerity: discursive institutions and critique’, Environment and Planning A, 49, 745–66. City government in an age of austerity: discursive institutions and critique Environment and Planning A 49 745 66 Google Scholar

FUNG, A. and WRIGHT, E. (2001), ‘Deepening democracy: innovations in empowered participatory governance’, Politics and Society, 29, 5–41. Deepening democracy: innovations in empowered participatory governance Politics and Society 29 5 41 Google Scholar

GALLENT N., HAMIDUDDIN I. and MADEDDU M. (2013), ‘Localism, down-scaling and the strategic dilemmas confronting planning in England’, Town Planning Review, 84, 563–82. Localism, down-scaling and the strategic dilemmas confronting planning in England Town Planning Review 84 563 82 Google Scholar

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Harris, Neil

Webb, Brian

Smith, Robert